Changent
derived from "change agent"
A catalyst for creative, transformational thought;
A provocation that speeds significant change or action;
A guide to the possible.
Groovy/Grails Blog

How Did You Do?

Thank-you for completing the test. You will find details below of yours and other people's performance in these questions, together with an explanation of the correct answer for each of the questions that you completed. You will also find an analysis of the significance of these kinds of test.

Detail

Coloured Circles and Squares
Correct Answer
Your Answer
Answers to Date
Square -
Circle -
Yellow -
Red -

You answered:

Correctly!

This question has been answered correctly on 12% of occasions.

This question has been answered incorrectly on 88% of occasions.

This question has been asked and registered 4258 times.

Explanation

The rule stated that if a card has a circle on one side, then it has the colour yellow on the other. As above, the four cards showed:

Card 1 - Square
Card 2 - Circle
Card 3 - Yellow
Card 4 - Red

So which cards definitely have to be turned over to determine if the rule has been broken in any of the cases represented by these cards?

Card 1 - No. The rule says nothing about the colour that must appear on the other side of a square. Therefore, there is no need to turn this card over to determine that the rule is not broken.

Card 2 - Yes. This card has a circle on one side. It might not have the colour yellow on the other. It is necessary to turn over the card to determine whether this is the case. If it is, then the rule is broken.

Card 3 - No. In this instance, the rule is not broken whether there is a circle on the other side or not, so there is no need to turn over the card. In other words, the fact that there is yellow on one side of the card is enough to determine that the rule is not violated, regardless of the shape that appears on the other side.

Card 4 - Yes. Red appears on one side of the card. It is possible that there is a circle on the other side. It is necessary to turn over the card to find out whether this is the case. If it is, then the rule is broken.


Travelling in the City
Correct Answer
Your Answer
Answers to Date
Lives in London -
Travel by train -
Travel by car -
Lives in New York -

You answered:

Correctly!

This question has been answered correctly on 20% of occasions.

This question has been answered incorrectly on 80% of occasions.

This question has been asked and registered 3932 times.

Explanation

The rule stated that if a person lives in London, then they always travel distances longer than three miles by car. On one side of each card were details about the mode of transport a particular person utilises to travel distances longer than three miles. On the other side, details about their city of residence. As above, the four cards showed:

Card 1 - Lives in London
Card 2 - Travels by train
Card 3 - Travels by car
Card 4 - Lives in New York

So which cards definitely have to be turned over to determine if the rule has been broken in any of the cases represented by these cards?

Card 1 - Yes. This person lives in London. It is possible that they travel distances longer than three miles by modes of transport other than a car. It is necessary to turn over the car to determine whether this is the case. If it is, then the rule is broken.

Card 2 - Yes. This person travels distances longer than three miles by train. It is also possible that they live in London. It is necessary to turn over the card to find out whether this is the case. If it is, then the rule is broken.

Card 3 - No. In this instance, the rule is not broken wherever the person resides. In other words, the fact that they travel distances greater than three miles by car is enough to determine that the rule is not violated, regardless of their city of residence.

Card 4 - No. The rule says nothing about how people who reside in New York travel distances longer than three miles. Therefore, there is no need to turn over this card to determine that the rule is not broken.




Sly Beer Drinking
Correct Answer
Your Answer
Answers to Date
Drank Beer -
Drank Coke -
23 years old -
19 years old -

You answered:

Correctly!

This question has been answered correctly on 75% of occasions.

This question has been answered incorrectly on 25% of occasions.

This question has been asked and registered 4618 times.

Explanation

The rule stated that if a person drinks an alcoholic drink (e.g., beer), then they must be more than 21 years old. On one side of each card were details about the age of a drinker. On the other side, details about what they were drinking. As above, the four cards showed:

Card 1 - Drank Beer
Card 2 - Drank Coke
Card 3 - 23 years old
Card 4 - 19 years old

So which cards definitely have to be turned over to determine if the rule has been broken in any of the cases represented by these cards?

Card 1 - Yes. The person drank beer. It might be that they are under 21 years old. It is necessary to turn over the card to find out whether this is the case. If it is, then the rule is broken.

Card 2 - No. The rule says nothing about how old people have to be to drink coke. Therefore, there is no need to turn over this card to determine that the rule is not broken.

Card 3 - No. In this instance, the rule is not broken whether the person drinks an alcoholic drink or not. In other words, the fact that the drinker is 23 years old is enough to determine that the rule is not violated, regardless of what they drink.

Card 4 - Yes. The person is 19. They might be drinking an alcoholic drink. It is necessary to turn over the card to determine whether this is the case. If it is, then the rule is broken.


Tidy Rooms
Correct Answer
Your Answer
Answers to Date
Ate cookies -
Ate nothing -
Messy room -
Tidy room -

You answered:

Correctly!

This question has been answered correctly on 52% of occasions.

This question has been answered incorrectly on 48% of occasions.

This question has been asked and registered 4504 times.

Explanation

The rule stated that if a student eats cookies (biscuits!), then their room must be tidy. On one side of each card were details about whether a particular student's room was tidy. On the other side, details about whether they ate cookies. As above, the four cards showed:

Card 1 - Ate cookies
Card 2 - Ate nothing
Card 3 - Messy Room
Card 4 - Tidy Room

So which cards definitely have to be turned over to determine if the rule has been broken in any of the cases represented by these cards?

Card 1 - Yes. The student ate cookies. It is possible that their room was not tidy. It is necessary to turn over the card to find out whether this is the case. If it is, then the rule is broken.

Card 2 - No. The rule only refers to students who eat cookies. This student ate nothing. Therefore, there is no need to turn over this card to determine that the rule is not broken.

Card 3 - Yes. The student's room is not tidy. It is possible that they ate cookies. It is necessary to turn over the card to find out whether this is the case. If it is, then the rule is broken.

Card 4 - No. In this instance, the rule is not broken whether the student ate cookies or not. In other words, the fact that their room is tidy is enough to determine that the rule is not violated, regardless of their eating habits.



Analysis

Click for technical information about this experiment

The tasks that you have just completed are variations on the Wason selection task that was devised in 1966 by Peter Wason. The Wason selection task was originally developed as a test of logical reasoning, but it has increasingly been used by psychologists to analyse the structure of human reasoning mechanisms. It tests the ability of subjects to look for exceptions to a conditional rule of the form If P, then Q. As you have seen, the task begins with a person being presented with four cards: one card represents P (e.g., a circle); one not-P (e.g., a square); one Q (e.g., yellow); and the other not-Q (e.g., red). They are told that if there is a shape on one side of the card then there is a colour on the other. The person is then asked to name which of the four cards must definitely be picked up in order to determine whether any of the cards break the rule If P, then Q - in this instance: if a card has a circle on one side (P), then it has the colour yellow (Q) on the other side. (To make this clearer, I suggest you click on Question 2 in the Standard Wason Test Scores table below.)

The answer is that you should pick up the cards with the circle (P) and the colour red (not-Q). The card with the square (not-P) does not have to be picked up, as finding a surface of any colour on the other side tells us nothing about the truth or falsity of the rule. And neither does the card with the colour yellow showing have to be picked up, because finding a circle or square on the other side of that card would also be uninformative in terms of the rule (it will be obvious that finding a circle on the other side does not falsify the rule, but crucially nor does finding a square, since the rule does NOT say, "If, and only if, a card has a circle on one side, then it has the the colour yellow on the other side").

The significant point about this test is that we are incredibly bad at it! Typically, some 75%-80% of people get the test wrong. And it doesn't make much difference what the level of education is of the person taking the test. Moreover, even a training in formal logic seems to make little difference to a person's performance! The mistake that we tend to make is fairly standard. People almost always recognise that they have to pick up the card with the circle (P), but they fail to see that they also have to pick up the card with the colour red (not-Q). And often - and mistakenly - they think instead that they have to pick up the card with the colour yellow (Q). (One of the most interesting things about this phenomenon is that even when the correct answer is pointed out, people feel resistance to it. It apparently feels "right" that the card with the colour yellow (Q) should be picked up.)

There are a number of important implications of the fact that we tend to be bad at the Wason selection task (and indeed, other similar tasks, e.g., the conjunction problem). One has to do with the notion of justified belief. If a belief is recognised to be based on defective reasoning, then to continue to believe it is not justified. But if we systematically, and unconsciously, reason badly, then the extent to which reason actually acts as a constraint on belief is a moot point.

Another implication, and the one that we'll focus on here, has to do with what these tests tell us about the way that the human mind has evolved. According to Leda Cosmides & John Tooby, the results of the Wason selection task demonstrate that the human mind has not evolved reasoning procedures that are specialised for detecting logical violations of conditional rules. Moreover, they claim that this is the case even when these rules deal with familiar content drawn from everyday life. However, they argue that the human mind has evolved to detect violations of conditional rules, when these violations involve cheating on a social exchange. This is a situation where a person is entitled to some kind of reward only if they have fulfilled a particular requirement (e.g., "If a student eats cookies, then their room is tidy"). Cheating involves taking the benefit, without fulfilling the condition for the benefit. It is Cosmides's and Tooby's finding that when the Wason selection task is constructed to reflect a cheating scenario, subjects perform considerably better than they do with the standard test. And moreover, they found additionally that this is not simply to do with the familiarity of cheating scenarios - subjects do better with an unfamiliar cheating scenario than they do with a familiar standard scenario.

The tasks that you have just completed have been designed to test these claims. You completed two sets of two tasks. These were randomnly selected from two sets of six tasks. One set of tasks was of the form of a standard Wason selection task. The other of the form of a Wason selection task with a cheating context. The order in which the two sets of tasks were presented to you was randomised and, so as to avoid order effects, only your answers to the first set of tasks have been added to the cummulative scores for the experiment.

If Leda Cosmides and John Tooby are right, and this particular experimental design is sound, then two things will follow. Firstly, the chances are that you will have found one set of tasks much easier than the other set. In fact, for the tasks with a cheating context, you might well have experienced what Cosmides and Tooby call a "pop out" effect. That is, the correct answer will have appeared to be immediately obvious to you (i.e., it wouldn't have required analysis). And secondly, this fact that one set of tasks, the cheating context tasks, is easier than the other set will be reflected in the overall scores for the two different kinds of tasks. As I write this, I don't know whether this has occurred (because it hasn't occurred yet!), but you can have a look at the tables below and see for yourself. However, if it hasn't occurred, and there are no significant differences between the scores, then the chances are that there is something wrong with this experiment! It is that well documented a phenomenon!
© Jeremy Stangroom 2000

Click for credits

Standard Wason Test Scores
  Percentage Correct Percentage Wrong Number of Answers
Qu1: Biking in the Dark 53% 47% 4273
Qu2: Coloured Circles and Square 12% 88% 4258
Qu3: Travelling in the City 20% 80% 3932
Qu4: Mind your S's and Q's 10% 90% 4252
Qu 5: Filing Mr Smith 33% 67% 4084
Qu 6: Even Vowels 16% 84% 4275
Combined Scores 24% 76% 25074

Wason Test With Cheating Context Scores
  Percentage Correct Percentage Wrong Number of Answers
Qu1: Pension Troubles 59% 41% 4415
Qu2: Sly Beer Drinking 75% 25% 4618
Qu3: Munching Cassava 58% 42% 4251
Qu4: Tidy Rooms 52% 48% 4504
Qu5: Dancing with Mushrooms 50% 50% 4245
Qu6: Surfing at Work 68% 32% 4621
Combined Scores 61% 39% 26654

Further reading



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