Changent derived from "change agent"
A catalyst for creative, transformational thought;
A provocation that speeds significant change or action;
A guide to the possible.
Thank-you for completing the test. You will find details below of
yours and other people's performance in these questions, together with an explanation of the correct answer for each of the questions that
you completed. You will also find an analysis of the significance of these kinds of test.
Detail
Coloured Circles and Squares
Correct
Answer
Your
Answer
Answers
to Date
Square -
Circle -
Yellow -
Red -
You
answered:
Correctly!
This
question has been answered correctly on 12% of occasions.
This
question has been answered incorrectly on 88% of occasions.
This
question has been asked and registered 4258
times.
Explanation
The rule stated that if a card has a circle on one side, then it has the colour yellow on the other. As above, the four cards showed:
Card 1 - Square
Card 2 - Circle
Card 3 - Yellow
Card 4 - Red
So which cards definitely have to be turned over to determine if the rule has been broken in any of the cases represented by these cards?
Card 1 - No. The rule says nothing about the colour that must appear on the other side of a square. Therefore, there is
no need to turn this card over to determine that the rule is not broken.
Card 2 - Yes. This card has a circle on one side. It might not have the colour yellow on the other. It is necessary to turn over the card to determine whether this is the case. If it is, then the rule is broken.
Card 3 - No. In this instance, the rule is not broken whether there is a circle on the other side or not, so there is no need to turn over the card. In other words, the
fact that there is yellow on one side of the card is enough to determine that the rule is not violated, regardless of the shape that appears on the other side.
Card 4 - Yes. Red appears on one side of the card. It is possible that there is a circle on the other side. It is necessary to turn over the card to find out whether this is the case. If it is, then the rule is broken.
Travelling in the City
Correct
Answer
Your
Answer
Answers
to Date
Lives in London -
Travel by train -
Travel by car -
Lives in New York -
You
answered:
Correctly!
This
question has been answered correctly on 20% of occasions.
This
question has been answered incorrectly on 80% of occasions.
This
question has been asked and registered 3932
times.
Explanation
The rule stated that if a person lives in London, then they always travel distances longer than three miles by car. On one side of each card were details about the mode of transport a particular person utilises to travel distances longer than three miles. On the other side, details about their city of residence. As above, the four cards showed:
Card 1 - Lives in London
Card 2 - Travels by train
Card 3 - Travels by car
Card 4 - Lives in New York
So which cards definitely have to be turned over to determine if the rule has been broken in any of the cases represented by these cards?
Card 1 - Yes. This person lives in London. It is possible that they travel distances longer than three miles by modes of transport other than a car. It is necessary to turn over the car to determine whether this is the case. If it is, then the rule is broken.
Card 2 - Yes. This person travels distances longer than three miles by train. It is also possible that they live in London. It is necessary to turn over the card to find out whether this is the case. If it is, then the rule is broken.
Card 3 - No. In this instance, the rule is not broken wherever the person resides. In other words, the fact that they travel distances greater than three miles by car is enough to determine that the rule is not violated, regardless of their city of residence.
Card 4 - No. The rule says nothing about how people who reside in New York travel distances longer than three miles. Therefore, there is no need to turn over this card to determine that the rule is not broken.
Sly Beer Drinking
Correct
Answer
Your
Answer
Answers
to Date
Drank Beer -
Drank Coke -
23 years old -
19 years old -
You
answered:
Correctly!
This
question has been answered correctly on 75% of occasions.
This
question has been answered incorrectly on 25% of occasions.
This
question has been asked and registered 4618
times.
Explanation
The rule stated that if a person drinks an alcoholic drink (e.g., beer), then they must be more than
21 years old. On one side of each card were details about the age of a drinker. On the other side, details about what they were drinking. As above, the four cards showed:
Card 1 - Drank Beer
Card 2 - Drank Coke
Card 3 - 23 years old
Card 4 - 19 years old
So which cards definitely have to be turned over to determine if the rule has been broken in any of the cases represented by these cards?
Card 1 - Yes. The person drank beer. It might be that they are under 21 years old. It is necessary to turn over the card to find out whether this is the case. If it is, then the rule is broken.
Card 2 - No. The rule says nothing about how old people have to be to drink coke. Therefore, there is no need to turn over this card to determine that the rule is not broken.
Card 3 - No. In this instance, the rule is not broken whether the person drinks an alcoholic drink or not. In other words, the fact that the drinker is 23 years old is enough to determine that the rule is not violated, regardless of what they drink.
Card 4 - Yes. The person is 19. They might be drinking an alcoholic drink. It is necessary to turn over the card to determine whether this is the case. If it is, then the rule is broken.
Tidy Rooms
Correct
Answer
Your
Answer
Answers
to Date
Ate cookies -
Ate nothing -
Messy room -
Tidy room -
You
answered:
Correctly!
This
question has been answered correctly on 52% of occasions.
This
question has been answered incorrectly on 48% of occasions.
This
question has been asked and registered 4504
times.
Explanation
The rule stated that if a student eats cookies (biscuits!), then their room must be tidy. On one side of each card were details about whether a particular student's room was tidy. On the other side, details about whether they ate cookies. As above, the four cards showed:
Card 1 - Ate cookies
Card 2 - Ate nothing
Card 3 - Messy Room
Card 4 - Tidy Room
So which cards definitely have to be turned over to determine if the rule has been broken in any of the cases represented by these cards?
Card 1 - Yes. The student ate cookies. It is possible that their room was not tidy. It is necessary to turn over the card to find out whether this is the case. If it is, then the rule is broken.
Card 2 - No. The rule only refers to students who eat cookies. This student ate nothing. Therefore, there is no need to turn over this card to determine that the rule is not broken.
Card 3 - Yes. The student's room is not tidy. It is possible that they ate cookies. It is necessary to turn over the card to find out whether this is the case. If it is, then the rule is broken.
Card 4 - No. In this instance, the rule is not broken whether the student ate cookies or not. In other words, the fact that their room is tidy is enough to determine that the rule is not violated, regardless of their eating habits.
The tasks that
you have just completed are variations on the Wason selection task that
was devised in 1966 by Peter Wason. The Wason selection task was originally
developed as a test of logical reasoning, but it has increasingly been used
by psychologists to analyse the structure of human reasoning mechanisms. It
tests the ability of subjects to look for exceptions to a conditional rule of
the form If P, then Q. As you have seen, the task begins with a person
being presented with four cards: one card represents P (e.g., a circle);
one not-P (e.g., a square); one Q (e.g., yellow); and the other not-Q (e.g., red). They are told that if there is a shape on one side of the card
then there is a colour on the other. The person is then asked to name which
of the four cards must definitely be picked up in order to determine whether
any of the cards break the rule If P, then Q - in this instance: if a card
has a circle on one side (P), then it has the colour yellow (Q) on the
other side. (To make this clearer, I suggest you click on Question 2 in the Standard Wason Test Scores table below.)
The answer is
that you should pick up the cards with the circle (P) and the colour
red (not-Q). The card with the square (not-P) does not have to
be picked up, as finding a surface of any colour on the other side tells us
nothing about the truth or falsity of the rule. And neither does the card with
the colour yellow showing have to be picked up, because finding a circle or square
on the other side of that card would also be uninformative in terms of the rule (it will
be obvious that finding a circle on the other side does not falsify the rule,
but crucially nor does finding a square, since the rule does NOTsay,
"If, and only if, a card has a circle on one side, then it has the
the colour yellow on the other side").
The significant
point about this test is that we are incredibly bad at it! Typically,
some 75%-80% of people get the test wrong. And it doesn't make much difference
what the level of education is of the person taking the test. Moreover, even
a training in formal logic seems to make little difference to a person's performance!
The mistake that we tend to make is fairly standard. People almost always recognise
that they have to pick up the card with the circle (P), but they fail
to see that they also have to pick up the card with the colour red (not-Q).
And often - and mistakenly - they think instead that they have to pick up the card
with the colour yellow (Q). (One of the most interesting things about this phenomenon is that even when the correct
answer is pointed out, people feel resistance to it. It apparently feels "right"
that the card with the colour yellow (Q) should be picked up.)
There are a number
of important implications of the fact that we tend to be bad at the Wason selection
task (and indeed, other similar tasks, e.g., the conjunction problem).
One has to do with the notion of justified belief. If a belief is recognised
to be based on defective reasoning, then to continue to believe it is not justified.
But if we systematically, and unconsciously, reason badly, then the extent to
which reason actually acts as a constraint on belief is a moot point.
Another implication,
and the one that we'll focus on here, has to do with what these tests tell us
about the way that the human mind has evolved. According to Leda Cosmides &
John Tooby, the results of the Wason selection task demonstrate that the human
mind has not evolved reasoning procedures that are specialised for detecting
logical violations of conditional rules. Moreover, they claim that this is the
case even when these rules deal with familiar content drawn from everyday life.
However, they argue that the human mind has evolved to detect violations
of conditional rules, when these violations involve cheating on a social exchange.
This is a situation where a person is entitled to some kind of reward only if
they have fulfilled a particular requirement (e.g., "If a student eats
cookies, then their room is tidy"). Cheating involves taking the benefit,
without fulfilling the condition for the benefit. It is Cosmides's and Tooby's
finding that when the Wason selection task is constructed to reflect a cheating
scenario, subjects perform considerably better than they do with the standard
test. And moreover, they found additionally that this is not simply to do with
the familiarity of cheating scenarios - subjects do better with an unfamiliar
cheating scenario than they do with a familiar standard scenario.
The tasks that
you have just completed have been designed to test these claims. You completed
two sets of two tasks. These were randomnly selected from two sets of six tasks.
One set of tasks was of the form of a standard Wason selection task. The other
of the form of a Wason selection task with a cheating context. The order in
which the two sets of tasks were presented to you was randomised and, so as
to avoid order effects, only your answers to the first set of tasks have
been added to the cummulative scores for the experiment.